Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 28
Updated Jul. 28, 2025, 7:00 p.m. ET
Simeon Woods Richardson is set to take the mound for the Minnesota Twins as they face Ceddanne Rafaela and the Boston Red Sox this Monday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET, marking the opening game of a three-game series. The Twins are slightly favored at -111, while the underdog Red Sox are at -109, hoping to spoil the Twins’ plans. Boston is the favorite on the run line at -1.5, and the game’s over/under is set at 9 runs.
Let’s delve into what you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Twins-Red Sox matchup, covering the run line, moneyline, and total, alongside expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Twins vs rookie kobe. Red Sox Game Information & Odds
When: Monday, July 28, 2025, at 7:40 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to watch on TV: MNNT and NESN
Favorite | Underdog
Moneyline: Twins -111 | Red Sox -109
Total: 9 runs
Over Odds: -119 | Under Odds: -102
Run Line: Twins -1.5 at -187 | Red Sox +1.5 at +152
Twins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Score Prediction: Twins 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Red Sox 50%
Twins vs. Red Sox Betting Insights
This season, the Twins have managed to win 35 out of 68 matches, boasting a 51.5% winrate in games where they were favored. Minnesota’s record stands at 35-32 with a 52.2% win rate when favored by -111 or more in betting lines. The Twins also have a 52.6% chance of winning this game according to the implied probability of the moneyline.
Conversely, the Red Sox have secured victories in 17 out of 39 games when tagged as underdogs, giving them a win rate of 43.6% quiambao dlsu. Boston holds a 17-21 overall record in matches where oddsmakers have them at -109 or worse on the moneyline, suggesting they have a 52.2% chance of winning according to the odds set for this game.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
The Twins have been the moneyline favorite in seven of their last ten games, finishing with a 2-5 record in those contests. Over their past 10 outings, all with a predetermined run total, the Twins and their opponents exceeded the over three times. Their against-the-spread (ATS) record in that span is 3-7-0.
Twins Recent Stats
Record: 3-7
Runs Per Game: 3.9
Home Runs: 9
ERA: 5.22
K/9: 9.3
Twins Player Insights
Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 23 home runs, 59 runs batted in, and a commendable batting average of .282. He ranks 13th in home runs and 36th in RBIs among all MLB hitters. Trevor Larnach follows with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs, and 34 walks, batting .244, ranking 91st in home runs and 97th in RBIs in the league. Ty France, batting .254, has 19 doubles, six home runs, and 18 walks, while Carlos Correa, hitting .266, has 19 doubles, seven home runs, and 26 walks, recording at least one hit in four straight games.
Twins Team Props
Hits O/U:
Willi Castro: 0.5 (-250)
Trevor Larnach: 0.5 (-235)
Royce Lewis: 0.5 (-255)
Kody Clemens: 0.5 (-205)
Carlos Correa: 0 pba standing 2022.5 (-265)
Red Sox Recent Betting Performance
In their last ten games, the Red Sox have faced the odds as underdogs six times, posting a 2-4 record. They and their competition have gone 2-8-0 on hitting the over in those outings. Boston has won six of their last ten against the spread.
Red Sox Recent Stats
Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 3.3
Home Runs: 9
ERA: 3.34
K/9: 8.5
Red Sox Player Insights
Jarren Duran is batting .259, boasting 26 doubles, 12 triples, nine home runs, and 36 walks, ranking 148th in home runs and 51st in RBIs in the league. He enters this matchup with a three-game hitting streak, hitting .300 in his last five games. Ceddanne Rafaela leads the team with a .265 batting average, while Wilyer Abreu tops the Red Sox with 20 home runs. Trevor Story has also contributed significantly with a team-high 61 RBIs.
Red Sox Team Props
Hits O/U:
Wilyer Abreu: 0.5 (-195)
Trevor Story: 0.5 (-225)
Roman Anthony: 0.5 (-275)
Masataka Yoshida: 0. thirdy ravena height in feet5 (-245)
Ceddanne Rafaela: 0.5 (-215)
Byron Buxton recently hit a tremendous 479-foot three-run homer against the Texas Rangers.
What are your thoughts on the upcoming matchup between the Twins and Red Sox winph111 com?
